zondag, januari 20, 2008

De republikeinse kiezer in South-Carolina

Bron: New York Times
- Een kwart van de kiezers heeft legerdienst gedaan
- In de jongere categorieën en bij lagere inkomens haalt Huckabee het op McCain (die met kleine marge gewonnen heeft)
- <=> Huckabee haalt ook de meeste "pro-belastingsverlaging"-kiezers binnen (ipv Romney)

Profile of the South Carolina Primary Voters

Based on questionnaires filled out by Republican voters across the state as they exited the polls. Democrats will vote on Saturday, Jan. 26. Full South Carolina primary results

The Republicans


100%Results as of 10 p.m. Saturday333016154


51% Male322818155
49% Female343313142


10% 18-29 years old283515127
23% 30-44233721123
32% 45-59322916165
35% 60 and older422712162


50% No college degree323416124
50% College graduate342815183


28% Less than $50,000333611116
28% $50,000-$75,000323019133
17% $75,000-$100,000333114182
18% $100,000-$150,000332918162
5% $150,000-$200,000312020251
5% More than $200,000381913240

Family's financial situation

23% Getting ahead financially293219152
66% Holding steady353015153
11% Falling behind293712137

Political philosophy

2% Very liberal----------
5% Somewhat liberal491615118
24% Moderate51218115
34% Somewhat conservative323015173
34% Very conservative194122162

Decided whom to support

18% Today303315172
16% Within three days of primary352922112
13% In the last week372618143
26% In the last month323912123
26% Before that332515186

Issues vs. personality: What matters more

51% Candidate's positions on the issue243422116
46% Candidate's leadership/personal qualities44278181

Issue that matters most

26% Immigration243321164
16% War in Iraq52241173
40% Economy323212175
15% Terrorism333021131

Candidate quality that matters most

26% Says what he believes34312176
43% Shares my values144820124
23% Has the right experience6724231
6% Has the best chance to win in November4215633--

Believes abortion should be

9% Legal in all cases452014153
19% Legal in most cases50119206
43% Illegal in most cases313217153
28% Illegal in all cases21471893

Feeling about the Bush administration

17% Enthusiastic342818181
52% Satisfied, but not enthusiastic303517142
25% Dissatisfied, but not angry382913146
5% Angry441561222

On taxes, higher priority should be

48% Cutting taxes283319143
49% Reducing the budget deficit392913153

Most illegal immigrants working in the U.S. should be

28% Offered a chance to apply for citizenship44318122
19% Allowed to stay as temporary workers372317173
52% Deported to the country they came from263419154

Matters that candidate shares religious beliefs

38% A great deal29501271
32% Somewhat282921164
16% Not much451215215
14% Not at all44812266

Would describe self as

60% Born-again or evangelical Christian274315112
40% Not born-again or evangelical431416204
55% White born-again or evangelical Christian274315112


18% Not affiliated with either party422511129

Military experience

25% Served in the United States military362914173

The South Carolina exit poll was based on questionnaires completed by voters on Saturday as they left primary election locations throughout the state. The poll was conducted by Edison Media Research of Somerville, N.J., and Mitofsky International of New York City for the National Election Pool, which consists of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News. The results are based on 1,655 Republican primary voters at 35 randomly selected polling places, interviewed as they were exiting each site. In theory, in 19 cases out of 20, the results from such polls should differ by no more than plus or minus four percentage points from what would have been obtained by seeking to interview all voters who participated in South Carolina�s Republican primary. Results based on smaller sub-groups, such as views of backers of a particular candidate, have a larger potential sampling error. In addition to sampling error, the practical difficulties of conducting any survey of voter opinion on election day, like the reluctance of some voters to take time to fill out the questionnaire, may introduce other sources of error into the poll. Michael R. Kagay of Princeton, N.J., assisted in the polling analysis.

Geen opmerkingen: